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Reaction Roundup: Heritage Responds to Obama?s 2013 Budget Proposal

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Reaction Roundup: Heritage Responds to Obama?s 2013 Budget Proposal

On 02.13.12 09:05 AM posted by Mike Brownfield




Today, President Barack Obama released his budget for Fiscal Year 2013.* Experts from The Heritage Foundation are analyzing the President’s proposal and offer their reactions, below:

President Obama’s Budget Proposal: Running on Empty
- Patrick Louis Knudsen

Coming from a President whose economic philosophy is a borrowed car company slogan, the Obama budget submitted Monday all too predictably repeats the stale and unsuccessful policies of the past three years.

The Administration has tapped all its resources and can only recycle the President’s shopworn “vision”: bigger government, more spending, higher taxes, and deeper deficits. At a time when runaway spending and swelling deficits must be reversed, he worsens both immediately but, as usual, promises to fix them later. In his first post-debt-ceiling fiscal plan—delayed a week, with no explanation—the President appears to have offered an election-year campaign document, not a credible blueprint for addressing the nation’s fiscal and economic problems.

Spending in the President’s budget rises inexorably from today’s $3.8 trillion to $5.8 trillion in 2022. Throughout the decade, outlays hold stubbornly above 22 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), more than twice the New Deal’s share of the economy in its peak years. In constant dollars, outlays are more than three times the peak of World War II.

In 2012, his budget results deliver a fourth consecutive annual deficit exceeding $1 trillion and then make it worse with another round of not-so-shovel-ready construction projects and government “investments” totaling $178 billion. Among these are the typical road, bridge, and school construction, but then they go alarmingly beyond the usual “infrastructure” arguments to fund teachers’ pay.

Obama’s future deficit reduction comes mainly from Budget Control Act cuts already in place, $848 billion in discredited phantom “savings” from the wind-down of operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, taking credit for reductions in 2011 appropriations, and roughly $1.8 trillion in unnecessary tax increases on those earning above $250,000 and the oil and gas industry.

Yet even with the hefty tax increases and illusory savings, the President’s deficits over the next decade never fall below $575 billion (in 2018) and climb back to $704 billion (in 2022)—but again only assuming the tax increases and mystical savings cited above.

Debt held by the public in the President’s budget rises from 74.2 percent of GDP today to an economically hazardous 76.5 percent of GDP in 2022. These are historically high debt levels: the post–World War II average is just 43 percent. Moreover, the President’s debt estimates are low because of the unreal nature of much of his proposed deficit reduction.

Regarding the most critical fiscal challenge of the day—the need to restructure Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security—the President has once again taken a pass. By the middle of this century, these three programs and Obamacare will consume about 18 percent of GDP, soaking up all the historical average of federal tax revenue. The notion of “protecting” them through benign neglect only ensures their collapse, and the longer Congress and the President wait to address the problem, the more wrenching will be the consequences. But the President merely reruns previous ideas, such as more cuts to medical providers, ignoring the need for fundamental reform.

For other entitlements, the President repeats a range of mere chipping-around-the-edges proposals from last year’s budget, many of which are really tax or fee increases, not spending reductions.

In short, the President’s budget is the same worn-out collection of higher spending and higher taxes he has offered three times before—with the same inevitable result of more spending, higher taxes, and still more government debt.

What Would Obama Do?* Insights from his budget
- J.D. Foster

What is President Obama’s vision for America, truly? What would he intend in a second term if re-elected? We need not wait for yet another soaring presidential speech to illuminate and clarify. We now have much of the answer to these questions in black and white from his own Administration. The answer is provided in the budget he released this morning. The answer, in short, is more of the same—only more, and less.

In summary, Obama’s vision for America according to his own budget is:

  • To add about $3 trillion more in national debt to the roughly $5.5 trillion he added in his first term.
  • To increase federal spending by half a trillion dollars between 2012 and 2016, from $3.8 trillion to $4.3 trillion.
  • To ignore the 2012 budget deficit (projected at $1.3 trillion), allow spending to grow substantially in the years immediately following, and then take sterner measures in some distant future—read: He intends to leave the pending fiscal disaster to his successor.
  • To step up his economy-defeating and self-delusional ideological tax hike war.
  • To hope Congress ignores his tax policies and the economy somehow continues to strengthen on its own.
  • Ultimately, to live up to the moniker of tax-and-spend liberal.
There is more, like a tax plan to turn the ownership of America’s largest companies over to foreign ownership. Once again the President has trotted out the liberals’ favorite lines about “investment” when referring to huge jumps in infrastructure spending. The budget also includes a smattering of public-relations-oriented micro policies like a community college proposal that give the President a chance to talk about something on the campaign trail, indeed anything, except the real issues facing America.

There is also some good news in the budget. While spending goes up rapidly over time, there are at least no new efforts to pump up the economy and waste taxpayer dollars with another debt-based stimulus. Has the Obama Administration learned this will never work, or is the deficit now simply too large for them to try it again?

In truth, a President’s second term is rarely a time of bold initiative and action. For the most part, it’s a time of marking time and continuing and completing policies laid out in a first term. It is also an exercise of denying the opposition power. But there have been notable exceptions.

In his second term, President Reagan managed to slow the growth of spending substantially and to sign into law in 1986, the last great tax reform effort. President Clinton signed the landmark welfare reform into law, somewhat begrudgingly perhaps and at the point of a Republican policy bayonet perhaps, but he signed it nevertheless. President Bush tried mightily and failed spectacularly to turn Social Security from a fiscal disaster to a sustainable program for generations to come, but at least he tried.

President Obama’s budget lays bare and strips away any pretense that a second Obama term would be marked by bold leadership to address problems like high unemployment, massive budget deficits, and vital entitlement programs headed for financial disaster of Greek-like proportions. As this message sinks in, the Administration will no doubt try to establish an alternative narrative of fear-mongering leavened with promised leadership. But the true picture is painted in black and white in his own budget.

Budget Further Grows Bureaucracy at Department of Education
- Lindsey Burke


The President’s budget request includes a 3.5 percent increase (over 2012 levels) for the Department of Education – the largest increase of any domestic agency. The Department of Education, a 4,200-person agency, has enjoyed dramatic funding increases year after year in the past three decades since its creation. Unfortunately, schools and families have not enjoyed commensurate increases in student achievement. The bloated bureaucracy has layered red tape on states and school districts, and served as little more than a filing cabinet for the reams of paperwork local schools must complete to demonstrate compliance with the Department’s 151 education programs.

With the release of his 2013 budget request, President Obama is proposing to further grow this “bureaucratic boondoggle” at a time when American taxpayers are calling for fiscal restraint in Washington, including restraint at the Department of Education. The budget includes a $1.7 billion increase over 2012 levels, increasing spending on programs such as Race to the Top ($850 million in new grants), and providing $80 million in federal funding for STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) teacher training.

On the higher education front, the proposal includes $8 billion in new spending for the Community College Career Fund, a program designed to expand certification programs and job training at community colleges. The spending will be divided among the Education and Labor Departments over the next three years. Consistent with the Obama administration’s disdain for the sector, for-profit colleges will be prohibited from receiving any of the new grant money.

The President’s proposal also increases the maximum Pell Grant award, and includes a significant increase in the Perkins loan program (from $1 billion to $8 billion) if the loans are reauthorized. It includes a $1 billion higher education “Race to the Top” grant to provide more federal money to traditional universities that keep costs low – a proposal outlined in the President’s State of the Union address. The move, however, will provide zero incentive for colleges to reduce costs in the long-run since, on net, federal spending on college subsidies, grants, and loans will continue to increase.

In all, President Obama’s budget request increases spending at the Department of Education to $69.8 billion. It’s a continuation of the failed policies of the past, and a perennial liberal agenda that claims spending more taxpayer dollars through more and more federal programs will improve education. It hasn’t and it won’t, and this latest increase once again puts taxpayers on the hook for profligate Washington spending that grows bureaucracy while further removing parents from the education decision-making process.

Obama’s Budget: A Barrage of Economy-Slowing Tax Hikes
- Curtis Dubay

To no one’s surprise, President Obama’s budget contains a multitude of tax increases. In total they add up to $1.8 trillion in new levies over 10 years.

This is a net total after subtracting for the roughly $88 billion in new tax cuts the President proposes. Many of the tax increases are recycled policies from previous budgets that Congress has repeatedly rejected.

The small amount of tax cuts the President offers are mostly incentives for engaging in behaviors (including “green activities”) that the President favors. These are the type of economy-distorting tax policies that tax reform would wipe out, the exception being auto-enrollment in IRA plans.

The average revenue collected by the federal government since World War II is around 18 percent of GDP. President Obama’s budget would blow past this upper bound on what Americans will tolerate their government taking from them. Under his budget, revenues would surpass the average revenue mark in 2014. By the end of the 10-year window, revenue would be 20.1 percent of GDP—well above the historical marker and almost equal to the all-time high revenue number set in 2000.

Included in the President’s tax hikes are his old favorites, such as raising tax rates on families making more than $250,000 a year back to their level prior to the 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cuts. President Obama would also curtail their deductions and personal exemptions, hike the capital gains tax to 20 percent (23.8 percent when including the new Obamacare surtax), and raise the death tax.

Tax hikes on oil and coal companies are back again, as are higher taxes on U.S. multinational companies, which would only increase these businesses’ incentives to locate jobs in more competitive countries.

More in-depth analysis of these tax hikes can be found here.

The biggest new tax is President Obama’s proposal to tax dividends at the same rate as regular income: 43.4 percent after accounting for the top income tax rate rising to 39.6 percent and the 3.8 percent Obamacare surcharge. Of course, the dividends tax is a double tax, since the corporate income that dividends come from are already taxed 35 percent at the business level. The effective rate on dividends would stand at more than 63 percent if President Obama’s misguided policy became law. This would significantly curtail investment and slow economic growth.

The President’s much-touted Buffett tax is not a fleshed out policy in the budget but is paid lip service in a half-hearted outline for tax reform. The President envisions his misguided rule as replacing the Alternative Minimum Tax as part of a broader redo of the tax code.

Another policy the President hints at in his tax reform outline is eliminating deductions for families earning more than $1 million a year. Such a policy would eliminate their deductions for mortgage interest, saving for retirement, and health care expenses.

The still frail economy cannot withstand the barrage of tax hikes the President calls for. Nor would it benefit from his vision of tax reform. Tax reform first and foremost is revenue neutral. The President’s outline calls for it to raise another $1.5 trillion for the government to spend.

Congress should disregard the President’s tax proposals, as it wisely has in previous years, and focus on true tax reform like the plan laid out in The Heritage Foundation’s New Flat Tax.

Spectrum Availability Is Crucial to Growth
- James Gattuso

The President’s budget released today includes some $31 billion in revenue from the auction of spectrum licenses for mobile broadband use.

Of this, $10 billion would be spent on a public safety broadband network, with the rest purported to reduce the deficit, although the amount received is far outweighed by new spending elsewhere in the budget and is only a one-time revenue infusion.

But setting that aside, the auction of these frequencies, now used by broadcasters, deservedly has widespread support. The wireless industry is one of the few booming areas of the U.S. economy, but with demand skyrocketing, it is rapidly running out of spectrum to provide service. Making more spectrum available is crucial to maintaining that growth.

Legislation is already moving in Congress to authorize such auctions. But there is a snag: The Obama Administration, as well as the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), whose chairman is an Obama appointee, is insisting that any legislation allow the FCC to exclude the two biggest current users of spectrum—Verizon and AT&T—from bidding. The result would be not only to reduce the revenue gained but to starve the two leading providers of wireless service from the resources they need.

Rather than pre-select the winners and losers, regulators at the FCC should conduct an open process, letting all participate and letting the market decide how this valuable resource is allocated.

Obama’s Budget Sings a Golden Oldie: “Do You Believe in Magic?”
- J.D. Foster

Imagine if every President magically got an extra year. Budgets are always full of contestable assumptions and assertions, and President Obama’s fiscal year 2013 budget is no exception. But few budgets get an extra year—certainly none in recent memory, until now.

It’s not that President Obama’s budget assumes his first term will last five years instead of four, or that a second term would last an extra year. But there is an extra year in the budget. It shows up in the economic assumptions, specifically, his assumptions for economic growth.

Every budget rests on two basic pillars: the President’s policy proposals in conjunction with current law, and the economic assumptions that drive tax receipts and much of federal spending. A President can be forgiven a little optimism in formulating these economic assumptions, as every Administration believes its policies would produce a stronger economy. And, after all, these economic forecasts, while painstakingly developed, are nevertheless little more than SWAGs, which is budget speak for Silly, Wild-A** Guesses.

Even so, ever since the humorous debates about rosey-scenario forecasts dating back to the 1980s, a budget’s economic forecasts rarely diverge substantially from the conventional wisdom as evidenced by the Blue Chip forecast, essentially an average of selected private-sector forecasters. It’s not that the Blue Chip forecast is more likely than any other to be right, but at least it does reflect something of a safe, prudent consensus.

The January Blue Chip forecast as reported in the budget has growth in real output in 2012 of 2.2 percent, which agrees with the Congressional Budget Office forecast. The Administration shows a substantially higher forecast of 2.7 percent. That’s a big difference for the most important year—the current year.

A pattern of the Administration projecting substantially stronger growth continues in the forecasts for every year up until 2017—what would be the end of President Obama’s second term if re-elected, when at last the Administration’s forecast returns to earth.

The net effect of these uber-strong annual economic growth forecasts is that from 2012 to 2017, the Administration projects a whopping 3.9 percent more cumulative growth than does the Blue Chip forecast. In economic terms, that’s like adding an extra year of growth—an extra very good year of growth.

And the effect of this irrational economic forecasting exuberance on the deficit in 2017? The budget tells us that, too, in a sensitivity table (3-1). According to the President’s own budget, the deficit in 2016 would jump by about $195 billion, from $649 billion to about $844 billion, if they used the more conservative Blue Chip forecast.

If only we could count on this magical economic year of growth, maybe we could wish our fiscal troubles away. As the Lovin’ Spoonful sang it: “Do you believe in magic?”

Obama’s Energy Budget: The Antithesis of a Market-Driven Energy Economy
- Nicolas Loris

If only entrepreneurs had President Obama’s vision of what technologies are going to be successful and profitable in the future. Sadly, the President’s vision seems to suggest that America’s innovators lack the ingenuity and expertise to meet our country’s needs, leaving the taxpayer to pick up the dropped ball.

In a nutshell, that’s President Obama’s fiscal year 2013 Department of Energy (DOE) budget. It completely rejects the notion of a market-based energy industry and wastes taxpayer dollars at a time when we desperately need to curtail out-of-control spending. Whether it’s renewable energy, energy efficiency, nuclear, or fossil fuels, the President’s blueprint is all wrong.

Not the Government’s Role to Make Energy Technologies Cost Competitive

Each year, the President’s budget has moved further away from basic research and more into commercializing politically preferred technologies.

For instance, the 2013 budget proposes to spend $310 million on the SunShot Initiative, a program to make solar energy cost-competitive without subsidies by 2020. The oxymoronic part of this proposal is that the program itself is a $310 million subsidy. And it’s a perfect example of the President’s attempt to hand over America’s energy economy to the DOE. This is an attempt that’s been tried and failed. And it’s not just solar getting a handout—there’s money for wind, geothermal, biofuels, advanced vehicles, energy efficiency, nuclear energy, and even natural gas.

Government has no business trying to make private-sector projects cost-competitive. It’s neither appropriate nor necessary. There’s a robust demand for energy domestically and globally that is met with a wide variety of energy sources. According to analysis by HSBC Holdings PLC, the global market for low-carbon energy and energy efficiency will reach $2.2 trillion in the next decade.

That’s all the incentive solar needs. If a technology or a company cannot capture part of that market, it doesn’t deserve to be in business, and it certainly needs no help from the taxpayer.

Consumers and Businesses Know How to Save Money

Energy efficiency spending programs and legislation have largely enjoyed bipartisan support because the practices of being resourceful and saving money are inherently desired. But it’s because they’re inherently good things that we don’t need government mandates, rebate programs, or spending initiatives to make businesses and homeowners more energy efficient.

The President’s overview highlights that “the Budget provides DOE with $290 million to expand R&D on innovative manufacturing processes and advanced industrial materials that will enable U.S. companies to cut the costs of manufacturing by using less energy, while improving product quality and accelerating product development.”

Businesses do not need taxpayer dollars to improve efficiency and cut costs; they make those investments all the time with their own money. Nestle’s newest water bottle uses 60 percent less plastic than the one they first introduced in mid-1990s. Businesses make these investments every day to be more competitive and pass the savings onto consumers to capture a larger market share.

Energy efficiency programs take an overly simplistic view of how our economy works and fail to take into account the tradeoffs energy consumers and businesses consider when making decisions.

Subsidize One Fossil Fuel, Punish Another?

In his State of Union speech, President Obama claimed that our country’s natural gas boom came largely as a result of public funding. While nothing could be further from the truth, the President wants to unnecessarily dump money into an already-booming industry.

The budget proposal includes $421 million in fossil energy research and development, including $12 million “aimed at advancing technology and methods to safely and responsibly develop America’s natural gas resources.” Much of the $421 million is subsidies for the fossil fuel industry for research and spending that can be done by the private sector. Most of this funding focuses on technologies that will reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

The program includes a clean coal power initiative, research on fuels and power systems to reduce fossil power plant emissions, innovations for existing plants, integrated gasification combined cycle, advanced turbines, carbon sequestration, and natural gas technologies. All of these programs need to go.

The Administration proposed a phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies, significantly cutting funding for the Office of Fossil Energy. But the Administration is doing so less because it is good economic policy (which it is) and more to promote an environmental policy of Administration-preferred clean energy sources. When the Administration does talk about eliminating fossil fuel subsidies, they’re not actually removing subsidies but imposing targeted tax hikes on the oil industry by removing broadly available tax deductions. The President’s anti-subsidy rhetoric is on track, but actually defining what’s a subsidy is a different story.

Unsurprisingly, President Obama’s budget proposal for energy is largely a carbon copy of last year’s, with an even stronger government push for renewable energy and energy efficiency programs. It hands DOE unprecedented control over America’s energy economy, which has successfully been driven by the private sector. The DOE budget proposal doesn’t need a scalpel taken to it; it needs a hatchet.

Obama’s Big Bank Tax Is Still Bad
- David C. John

The new 2013 Obama budget again contains a $61 billion “Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee” to be imposed on the largest financial firms that will supposedly “compensate the American people for the extraordinary assistance that they provided to Wall Street, as well as to discourage excessive risk taking.”

To be sure, the bailouts were riddled with problems. However, the government actually made a fairly sizeable profit on TARP money that went to the largest financial institutions. As the budget chapter for the Treasury Department notes in the previous paragraph to the one describing the “fee”: “TARP’s banking programs have generated a positive return for taxpayers—with almost $258 billion recovered as of December 31, 2011 compared to the $245 billion originally invested in the banks.”

The proposed Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee is a tax on major financial entities, pure and simple. If it were a fee, it would be assessed on those who caused the losses to the TARP program. TARP did lose an estimated $68 billion, but a check of the details shows that losses from the TARP program for the most part came from the automobile bailout, failed housing programs, and the bailout of insurance giant AIG.

It is also important to remember that while the top banks all received money from TARP, the largest of them received it under duress at the insistence of former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson. There is a bit of irony that certain banks were forced to take taxpayer dollars and are now taxed for taking it.

The real reason that the Obama Administration wants the Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee is that it desperately needs revenue to pay for its massive spending programs. If the Administration wanted to be candid about their reasoning for placing a “fee” on big banks, they would quote famed bank robber Willie Sutton, who, when asked why he robbed banks, purportedly answered, “Because that’s where the money is.”



http://blog.heritage.org/2012/02/13/...dget-proposal/
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